Great Lakes Snow, T-Day Rains In The East
Your SAWX forecast for the week of November 25, 2024
Welcome to Stone Age WX [SAWX], a five-day forecast posted every Sunday. As a life-long sky-watcher I love discussing the weather, and since the U.S. National Weather Service [NWS] provides public-domain forecasting models from which to work, I will dive into this project with relish each week.
My goal here is to present fresh, unique takes - without any agenda one way or the other - to make weather FUN again. After all, in a world where there is so much division, the one thing we ALL share, whether we believe in ‘climate change’ or ‘climate manipulation’… or neither?
Weather. We all have it, we all discuss it. So… let’s do just that…
Gratitude week has arrived, and the overall forecast is hit-and-miss.
Tuesday will see a broad swath of rain along the Ohio River Valley into the northeast, with New England virtually guaranteed to see downpours during the evening hours; amounts could be heavy in the latter, with up to a quarter-inch of moisture potentially falling in portions of Vermont.
Snow is expected to hit the northern Great Lakes region on Monday, and hang around into at least Thursday. States along the rest of The Lakes stretching into New England will deal with sporadic white coverings starting Tuesday night, with potentially heavy falls from upstate New York into Maine Thanksgiving evening.
Light snows are also possible across much of the north-central region of the nation starting Tuesday, with icy conditions likely in the upper-most part of North Dakota. Heavier snows are also possible for Ohio on Thanksgiving night, along with western Pennsylvania, western and upstate New York, and northern sections of Vermont and New Hampshire.
Seriously though, does Ohio ever get a week’s worth of decent weather? Ever?
Wednesday is looking fairly uneventful when it comes to rain, but Thursday pretty much everything east of the Mississippi (except Florida) is forecast to receive some degree of precipitation, with the middle Atlantic states and those along the Ohio River Valley (again) being the most likely.
Long-range outlooks are only showing the California Sierras with potential hazards this coming week… and those dissipate overnight Tuesday into Wednesday. Thanksgiving is - as of this writing - looking free and clear of dangerous situations.
The coasts and western valleys of the PNW will have high probabilities for rain on Monday into Tuesday (with pockets of heavy rains possible), but then… wait, what? Chances are greatly diminished by Wednesday, and on Thanksgiving? Current models show there being virtually no chance of rain; not in the Puget Sound, not along the Willamette, nor even on the coasts.
How’s that for a turkey-day miracle?
While the north-central and mountain-west will be chilly-to-cold all week long, Monday’s temperatures start the week off downright balmy in the deep south. Portions of Texas and Louisiana are forecast to hit highs in the 80°s, while mild temps will stretch along the Ohio River into New Jersey.
The next day sees a slight cooling in these areas, but Wednesday’s forecast highs virtually duplicate Monday’s numbers, with the warmer temps reaching as far north as Iowa. A general cooling hits most of nation on Thanksgiving, with dangerous lows for North Dakota and portions of eastern Montana Thursday night.
Oh, and also? It’s going to be snowing pretty much all week long throughout the mountains in the west, because of course it will; accumulations will largely being determined by elevations, with higher locales likely getting pounded.
Because - again - of course…
And that’s all for this edition of SAWX. I hope you enjoyed this exclusive of The Stone Age, and until next week: Be in the now, look up, stay weather-aware…
… and happy Thanksgiving, to you and yours.
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Notes…
-- I am not a meteorologist; I am merely a weather enthusiast who loves discussing all things related to weather. As such, these forecasts are for entertainment purposes only.
-- To gather accurate, up-to-date forecasts for your area, or in the event of a weather-related emergency, always check with your local weather sources, your favored weather app, or listen in to your weather radio.
-- All information presented here is based on data gleaned from the National Weather Service, and is thus public domain.
-- Unless otherwise credited, all images were generated by the author, using Grok 2 or Substack’s AI Image Tool.
"Seriously though, does Ohio ever get a week’s worth of decent weather? Ever?"
As someone who grew up there and spent his first four decades in the state, the answer is no.
The old joke about Ohio: if you don't like the weather there, wait 10 minutes and it will change.
Our outside temperature here in infamously sunny big sky country Southern Alberta Canada 🇨🇦 currently sits at a balmy -20 degrees Celsius. For those unfamiliar with the System International thats fucking colder than an Eskimo’s dick when taking a piss off the trail to the outhouse in Tuktoyaktuk in December.